DBF for 24hrs + Sale on "Supplies 1500" and Shop kits

[lukey0 27,543]

LOL, at least you have smartcool down on now. I remember in 2011-2012 I was facing marshal rank at a lower rank, plus there was no smartcool down at that time only full drugs, the majority of them were drugging in battle and I only had m1/m2, so then I bought rail m2 and hornet m2 to camp, it actually helped me a lot :)

Ha, yea, players these days don't know what they are complaining about. :LOL: M1/M2 Tier 1's vs M3/M3 Tier 2's on full drugs, life was hard then. b)

[Viking4s 10,791]

do these 2 sentences make sense

just remove the first one and it wont be confusing

Proba is a really confusing science.

At your level you have ~1 crystal per tank kill

At legends it is 9.9 crystals. Lets round to 10 to make it simple.

 

So in a battle if in 1 minutes you have 10 tanks killed:

* In you battle: you have 10 crystals (so ten possibilities to have a Gold box triggered)

* In a legend battle you have 100 crystals so (so 100 possibility to have a gold box triggered)

 

Take the example of a coin, your chance to get tail after you flip it is 1/2.

* This mean for 1 minutes you flip 10 coins at your level.

  => Each coins has 1/2 chances to fall on tail => 5 tails (in average) in one minute

* For legends this mean that you would have flipped 100 coins.

  => Each coins has still 1/2 chances to fall on tail => 50 tails (in average) in one minute.

 

Now you replace the probability from 1/2 to 1/10 000, and this should make more sens to you on how the stats work with the GB. Enhance these 2 sentences:

 

The chance is always 1/10000 for each crystal increase,

This is why Legends have more Gold box in their battles as each tank killed is 10crys.

Edited May 31, 2017 by Viking4s

[Pink_Legacy 269]

This is do not sound right, you need whole crystal: 0.2 will not work.

I'm not a good stats, but if you use a coin you have 1/2 chance. If you use 2 coins (like double found) then prob stay the same 1/2 to fall on tail, the chance to get one tail stays 1/2 and not 2/2 (=1) witch would mean you win each time!

So if 5 crystal generated: 5/10000 chance do not equal 5 x 1/10000. The later is right - the former is a wrong assumption of the probs.

Well, if you flip a coin twice (or if you flip two coins), using a normal distribution you will get one tail and one head, because the probability for each is 1/2+1/2=2/2. Now, if you ask about the probability of getting two tails, that's a whole other matter. Of course, this works a lot better with big numbers. If you make the experiment of flipping a coin 10,000 times, you will get tails roughly 5,000 times and heads roughly 5,000 times.

 

It really does not matter if the fund increase happens one crystal at a time or several crystals at a time. In the same way as the coin will tend to fall half of the times on head and half on tail, regardless of whether your flip them one by one or all of them at the same time, if the fund increases 5 crystals at once, it produces the same probability of dropping a gold box as increasing 1 crystal five times, because if the probability of the gold box is 1/10,000, five increases mean 1/10,000 + 1/10,000 + 1/10,000 + 1/10,000 + 1/10,000 = 5/10,000.

[Slay 71]

I never have any money whenever there are Shop sales. It's always rather depressing.

True

[Viking4s 10,791]

Well, if you flip a coin twice (or if you flip two coins), using a normal distribution you will get one tail and one head, because the probability for each is 1/2+1/2=2/2. Now, if you ask about the probability of getting two tails, that's a whole other matter. Of course, this works a lot better with big numbers. If you make the experiment of flipping a coin 10,000 times, you will get tails roughly 5,000 times and heads roughly 5,000 times.

 

It really does not matter if the fund increase happens one crystal at a time or several crystals at a time. In the same way as the coin will tend to fall half of the times on head and half on tail, regardless of whether your flip them one by one or all of them at the same time, if the fund increases 5 crystals at once, it produces the same probability of dropping a gold box as increasing 1 crystal five times, because if the probability of the gold box is 1/10,000, five increases mean 1/10,000 + 1/10,000 + 1/10,000 + 1/10,000 + 1/10,000 = 5/10,000.

spot on. :) (told you i'm not good at probs)

 

 

[Pink_Legacy 269]

spot on. :) (told you i'm not good at probs)

 

 

Actually, as I was thinking about it, I realised that it isn't as simple. I don't know how Tanki's system works, but there is actually one difference between both systems.

 

If Tanki randomly chooses whether or not a gold box will drop for every single crystal added (that is, if you kill a tank that's worth 6 crystals, then Tanki will do the random choosing six times), then one single event (one capture or one kill) could potentially trigger more than one gold box drop. If it does it in pack (that is, if you kill a tank that's worth 6 crystals, then Tanki only chooses once but the probability is six times higher), then one single event can only trigger one gold box.

 

At any rate, as far as my maths go (which isn't very far), you get the same amount of gold boxes with both systems, though.

[r_IMT-5390 150]

Truth is that player numbers always go down during summer. Part of it is, as you say, due to exams. Another part is that the weather is better and people understandably spend more time outdoors. And it's only fair really.

and big part is dumb updates which cost you number of players by now,and it will continue in future

[r_IMT-5390 150]

Ha, yea, players these days don't know what they are complaining about. :lol: M1/M2 Tier 1's vs M3/M3 Tier 2's on full drugs, life was hard then. B)

really?..players who complain about goldboxes and similar like complaining why there is w/f format don't know what they complain about

 

I was there when those battles were in action..struggled,but still made beast account..all it took was to get brigadier rank and get into the PRO battles..nowdays..I feel sorry for newcomers who are ..I bet less then 10% reach captain rank..because the are many older players creating numerous accounts and start all over again (especially buyers..just imagine what kits and loads of druggs can make on those ranks,combined with skill) ..or players with 10 accounts;but not even 1 higher then captain (for example)..ofc,all of those accounts worth nothing,but still they have superior skill over fresh newcomers..good way to repell new players from the game..

 

but,in last 2-3 years all that Tanki devs do is making this game more and more disgusting per update..for both groups..buyers and freebies

 

way to go :)

 

Please do not use inappropriate language, it is against the rule. Thank you.

Edited June 1, 2017 by Miahak

[Guest]

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