New Container Project To Learn Reward Probability

[DaringDeer 656]

I added 200 of my containers across 2 accounts.

I could change the inputs to be optional but then you lose the association of whether there is an advantage or disadvantage in opening different quantities.  I expect there is little difference once the sample size increases.

[Turrets 6]

14 hours ago, CaptainKiller said:

My last five results from opening 1 container at a time: 10 days Premium, 125 mines, 125 double damage, 10k crystals and 25k crystals.....

Thanks for the data! Please continue posting them here.

Updated post

[ILiveOnTheChatBox123 936]

Opened 1 container, 1 at a time, got 3500 crystals.

[Turrets 6]

125 DA

3500 crystals 

3500 crystals 

10 days Premium

125 RKs

Updated Post

[wolverine848 13,097]

Opened 5

- 3500 crystals x3

- 125 mines

- 125 DA

Since they've been introduced my most rare item was a shot effect for a turret I don't own.  BLECCHH.

[SporkZilla 1,775]

formatting issues, sorry

 

Edited May 6, 2020 by SporkZilla

[ILiveOnTheChatBox123 936]

10k crystals. One at a time.

[KillerDiesel 188]

Ok it's Friday now. Time to see what I'll get from the new containers on my EvilDemonicTroll account:

3500 crystals

125 speed boosts

125 double armor

 

[Maf 32,324]

On 5/5/2020 at 6:18 PM, HappyFace said:

Why don't you send an email asking for their numbers? A lot of game developers will (and have) replied to such emails and publicized their probabilities.

Players have been asking ever since containers were added. Devs don't want to release those numbers officially.

[N3tralRE 73]

I had 8 containers today, and I decided to open them one by one.  The results are as follows:

5 Gold Boxes, 125 DA, 5 Gold Boxes, Incendiary rounds Augment (what're the odds, huh), 125 SB, 125 DA, 3500 crystals, 3500 crystals

I'll add them to DaringDeer's thread.

 

[amreehensem 0]

got 2 container and open one by one and i just got 350 speed boost :(

[BigCar 54]

@Turrets

3500 CRYSTALS
3500 CRYSTALS
125 MINES
125 DOUBLE DAMAGE
125 DOUBLE DAMAGE
125 DOUBLE ARMOR
125 DOUBLE ARMOR
BELGIUM PAINT
HIGH PRECISION AIMING SYSTEM AUGMENT 
COLD RESISTANCE AUGMENT (VIKING)

[Turrets 6]

On 5/9/2020 at 8:25 AM, N3tralRE said:

 

 

22 hours ago, BigCar said:

 

 

Thanks for the data! Please continue posting them here.

Updated Post

[KillerDiesel 188]

@ILiveOnTheChatBox123 @Turrets or whoever is in charge here, I have opened up a couple more containers on my mobile account.

 

3500 crystals and 125 double damage is what I received.

 

 

[wolverine848 13,097]

Opened 15 containers all at once 

3500 cry x4

125 DA x2

125 DD x 3

125 SB x2

125 M x1

10k cry x2

3 days of Premuim.

- So obviously not one alteration - of any kind - in those 15 containers.

[DaringDeer 656]

@Turrets I appreciate the work you have done on this, but I fear the manual collation of the data as you are doing it is going to get tiresome. 

I am going to open a new thread about my Google form to collect data and the corresponding automatic Google Sheet results.  If we can push people to use that, we will get a bigger set of data and be closer to the actual probability of different container contents which is the main purpose of this effort.  I updated it so it is more flexible.  You can enter up to 15 containers at a time, irrespective of how many you are opening at once.  I also added a chart in the results and can add other visualizations if people request them and they make sense.

Form:  https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSe2ZG3EblCt1fCCrhyDVXNhALMVQfUp4DnsJb3dSosY5TmKRg/viewform

Results:  https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1h9qZ9SzO2QWGa0TMIGZPdZ6bHxia9NRGbINPuaJRBJc/edit#gid=0

Forum Thread: 

 

 

Edited May 12, 2020 by DaringDeer

[Maf 32,324]

I'm with @DaringDeer on this one. The automated system is quite well done, so let's continue this project over in his thread:

Closed.