Full Timeline Prediction Project - 2020 and Beyond

[KamiGT 143]

Attention! Please read this WHOLE post before replying to the topic!! If you do not you will likely be a detriment to the progress of the project!

Hello everyone. After watching the V-LOG today and looking at the Youtube comments, I noticed how negative people are about the future of the game. Many were predicting when it would hit 0 players and similar things. I also noticed the video had more dislikes than likes . I for one haven't had much fun in the game recently because great pro battles have been hard to find, and therefore it is getting a bit stale. Anyway, I am creating this thread in the interest of fun for all of us. My idea is to create a timeline that we continuously update which reflects all the different milestones in the game until it hits absolute zero. I thought it'd be fun if we were able to accurately predict what would happen.

The V-LOG: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uUoHatThDWM

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Posting Guidelines:

1. PLEASE keep the thread strictly on topic. I don't want the replies to get cluttered if this project works well because then it will be difficult to go through and add things to the timeline.
2. I am attempting to create a universal timeline which everyone can generally agree on. Although you should be sharing your personal opinion, don't share something that is a very fringe idea, or if you do, make sure to justify your points with evidence and logic so that others will agree and then I will add it.
3. Try and be as realistic and accurate as you can. We will want the timeline to correctly predict things. There is no fun here unless we become good at predicting what will happen.
4. Don't make multiple posts at once. Try to keep all thoughts in one text wall. It will make it easier to parse.

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Event Addition System

For the sake of organization and efficiency when adding events to the timeline, I thought we should use this system to determine when to add events. Do NOT use reactions on this thread UNLESS you want something to be added to the timeline. I will add events to the timeline when we have either 10 or more reactions on one post or have reactions from more than 50% of the respondents in the thread. Use the CONFUSED reaction for something that you want to be added. This should cut down on people coming in and giving something support by accident because they didn't read the guide.

Event Removal System

To petition for the removal of an event, first state that you are trying to do this in your post. Quote the event from the timeline you want removed. Add justification and reasoning so that your post will get traction. Follow similar rules for reacting as with adding an event. The only difference is that you should react with a HAHA reaction this time. That way we'll be able to differentiate between removals and additions, and will be able to cut down on accidental reactions.

If anyone has suggestions for changes to these rules please PM me. Like I said above I am trying to keep the thread uncluttered.

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I will put the official timeline here:

 

September 2020:

Player numbers are consistently at ~8500 or less.

In the following weeks the developers will continue to remove features from the Flash version in order to try and push players to Html5.

Tanker's day sale.

October 2020:

Halloween sale.

The teased Freeze balance may happen at this point. IF a Hornet overdrive nerf takes place then I believe this will also be done at the same time.

November 2020:

Flash is discontinued (I believe this is the correct date, tell me if it is wrong).

Player numbers will drop to ~5000 or fewer.

Black Friday sale.

December 2020:

Christmas sale.

War or similar event.

January 2021:

February 2021:

IOS version of TO mobile will be released in some capacity. Maybe just in beta. Advertised heavily as the game will likely need players badly.

Alternativa may also try and advertise their soon to be released game "King Hardcore" (check Alternativa's website) at this point.

March 2021:

 

[Maf 32,306]

11 minutes ago, KamiGT said:

January 2021:

Bold of you to assume that 2020 will end.

[sensei_tanker 3,098]

15 minutes ago, KamiGT said:

March 2021:

 the king will return

[KamiGT 143]

55 minutes ago, krish123_super said:

 

until it hits abosolute zero , what do you mean?

Until the game has nobody online and can't be played. Since it is heading in that direction it should get there eventually, the question is how fast. If you have any ideas for what devs will do in the next while, please mention them.

Also everyone else please keep the photos and off topic stuff out of here. I'm actually interested in finding people who have an idea of what will happen.

[mjmj5558 2,346]

2 hours ago, KamiGT said:

Until the game has nobody online and can't be played. Since it is heading in that direction it should get there eventually, the question is how fast. If you have any ideas for what devs will do in the next while, please mention them.

Also everyone else please keep the photos and off topic stuff out of here. I'm actually interested in finding people who have an idea of what will happen.

Nobody is online? That will never happen, cuz i will be XD

[Russty 368]

January 2021:

The developers begin to advertise the game.

The developers reveal their future plans for the game.

February 2021:

The number of players online at peak times drops to 5k.

March 2021:

Number of players online at peak time begins to rise.

Tesla turret goes into the test server.

April 2021:

New maps are introduced in the game.

[Snafu 139]

Predicting this game is hard since we don't know many crucial details such as how much revenue it generates and operational expenses. Is it profitable at all now?

In all fairness I thought Tanki should have been dead long time ago.  And in BR case I saw that it can sorta run with as low as few hundred players. Of course you experience long battle waiting times, chat is disabled, no moderation (you can cheat any way you like) but still it had vital signs! Something to think about.

 

[KamiGT 143]

6 hours ago, Russty said:

January 2021:

The developers begin to advertise the game.

The developers reveal their future plans for the game.

February 2021:

The number of players online at peak times drops to 5k.

March 2021:

Number of players online at peak time begins to rise.

Tesla turret goes into the test server.

April 2021:

New maps are introduced in the game.

 

23 minutes ago, Snafu said:

Predicting this game is hard since we don't know many crucial details such as how much revenue it generates and operational expenses. Is it profitable at all now?

In all fairness I thought Tanki should have been dead long time ago.  And in BR case I saw that it can sorta run with as low as few hundred players. Of course you experience long battle waiting times, chat is disabled, no moderation (you can cheat any way you like) but still it had vital signs! Something to think about.

 

Thanks for making serious posts. I actually agree that there will be some degree of advertising coming in 2021. I think they might bring the referral system back. That's what would make sense anyway. Forgot to add the Tesla turret. I'll add your things in once the post gets the confusion reactions like I said I would.

You're right Snafu. That's why this is just speculation. Still thought it might be an interesting thing to try though. Tanki is really not dying like I would have thought either. People always seem to stick with it to some degree. Why does the chat get disabled??

I just read from a very surface level google search that it costs a few thousand a year to run a server. I'm not sure how many they have, but it isn't that much if they are still making decent revenue off the remaining players.

I believe Alternativa also says on their website that they have 2 million players per month, 90 employees, and 2 offices. I don't really believe this because 90 employees is a massive amount of overhead for a game that only has max 8,000 players at any time.

[Russty 368]

Are there any new predictions now that we're near the end of 2020?

[NlDZO 591]

On 8/30/2020 at 2:53 AM, KamiGT said:

November 2020:

Flash is discontinued (I believe this is the correct date, tell me if it is wrong).

Player numbers will drop to ~5000 or fewer.

Well... it's December, flash client is closed and the tanki still has 10-12k players at its peak.

[mjmj5558 2,346]

10 hours ago, nidjo said:

Well... it's December, flash client is closed and the tanki still has 10-12k players at its peak.

Yeah, and i hope that it won't be lower anytime soon.

Edited December 19, 2020 by mjmj5558

[Blutaar 1,904]

My predictions of the game's timeline: 

• January 2021: game is discontinued in the Netherlands
• ...

[FrozenRailgun 1,771]

11 hours ago, BloodPressure said:

My predictions of the game's timeline: 

• January 2021: game is discontinued in the Netherlands.

[mjmj5558 2,346]

On 2020. 08. 30. at 9:54 PM, KamiGT said:

I believe Alternativa also says on their website that they have 2 million players per month, 90 employees, and 2 offices. I don't really believe this because 90 employees is a massive amount of overhead for a game that only has max 8,000 players at any time.

Just watch the recent v-logs. There are like 10 places every room, and there are a lot of rooms. I think they do have 90 employees.