Container Project to Learn Reward Probabilities

[Shaftermath 185]

26-11:
Supplies - SB - 125 ,
Crystals - 3500

26-11:
Crystals - 3500 ,
Supplies - All - 250 ,
Crystals - 3500

26-11:
Supplies - DD - 125 ,
Supplies - DD - 125 ,
Supplies - DD - 125

25-11:
Supplies - M - 125

25-11:
Crystals - 10000

24-11:
Supplies - DA - 125

[TheCongoSpider 8,952]

I find it weird that if you open 15 containers separately you'll rarely get anything epic or legendary, but when opening 15 together it starts off with common ones then nearly always ends in an epic and sometimes a legendary, based on many opening videos I've seen.

 

Do the probabilities change when opening them all at once?

This is purely sceptical but due to Tanki's lack of transparency, I may have come to the conclusion that they put rewards based on the number of containers you open at once. 

 

 

 

For instance, say you open 1 container. The reward chances may be: 

 

Common: 60%

Uncommon: 20%

Rare:  15%

Epic: 4%

Legendary: 1%

 

 

But If you open five containers, the rewards me be: 

 

At least 2 common items

3 random items (according to the above-mentioned chances.

 

 

And maybe when opening fifteen containers, the rewards may be: 

 

 

At least 8 common items

At least 1 uncommon item

6 random items (according to the above -mentioned chances)

 

 

Have you guys ever thought about that? I mean, when you see a youtuber or someone else opening 15 containers, at least half of it is commons. 

 

When the last war ended, I had saved up 15 containers and opened them all at once. I was really pissed when 13 of the items were common items, 5 golds as an Uncommon and the Kaleidoscope paint as a rare item and that was it.  

 

The only thing that I can say that somewhat contradicts this is that the reward chances stay consistent for each container no matter how many are opened at once and because there are many containers to be opened in the 15 container choice, then there would be a better chance of obtaining an epic than with my speculation

 

What do you guys think? Likely, or unlikely?

 

 

 

 

[T.O.R_Skyline 111]

I have just opened 3 containers from the weekly mission and got 125 repairs, 125 DD and 3.5k crystals (if it still helps :D )

[r_Issimo2 1,495]

I have just opened 3 containers from the weekly mission and got 125 repairs, 125 DD and 3.5k crystals (if it still helps :D )

This project is dead.

 

---

 

There should be a new simple topic to report container rewards.

[Shaftermath 185]

This is purely sceptical but due to Tanki's lack of transparency, I may have come to the conclusion that they put rewards based on the number of containers you open at once. 

 

 

 

For instance, say you open 1 container. The reward chances may be: 

 

Common: 60%

Uncommon: 20%

Rare:  15%

Epic: 4%

Legendary: 1%

 

 

But If you open five containers, the rewards me be: 

 

At least 2 common items

3 random items (according to the above-mentioned chances.

 

 

And maybe when opening fifteen containers, the rewards may be: 

 

 

At least 8 common items

At least 1 uncommon item

6 random items (according to the above -mentioned chances)

 

 

Have you guys ever thought about that? I mean, when you see a youtuber or someone else opening 15 containers, at least half of it is commons. 

 

When the last war ended, I had saved up 15 containers and opened them all at once. I was really pissed when 13 of the items were common items, 5 golds as an Uncommon and the Kaleidoscope paint as a rare item and that was it.  

 

The only thing that I can say that somewhat contradicts this is that the reward chances stay consistent for each container no matter how many are opened at once and because there are many containers to be opened in the 15 container choice, then there would be a better chance of obtaining an epic than with my speculation

 

What do you guys think? Likely, or unlikely?

 

 

 

 

It's been a few years since I studied statistics, but the key things here are that

 

a: the reward variance is very high (a container can contain between zero and one million crystals)

 

When they introduced exotic containers and big crystal rewards, they took steps to reduce the amount of crystals awarded elsewhere - generally they've been doing this ever since with additional paints and now shot effects.

 

b: the sample sizes we're talking about (5 or 15 containers at a time) are very small, and not statistically significant.

 

We're only going to be able to predict what's happening with containers if we collect a lot of data over a long period of time. Folks also need to post the bad hauls as well as the good ones.

 

I've posted all my container contents since January. For the first few months I was earning around 2500 crystals (or equivalent) per container opened. This then dropped to around 2000 until last week, when I opened two with 100,000 crystals. The average over the whole year is back up to around 2,500 again.

[tankhd.jr 24]

This is purely sceptical but due to Tanki's lack of transparency, I may have come to the conclusion that they put rewards based on the number of containers you open at once. 

 

 

 

For instance, say you open 1 container. The reward chances may be: 

 

Common: 60%

Uncommon: 20%

Rare:  15%

Epic: 4%

Legendary: 1%

 

 

But If you open five containers, the rewards me be: 

 

At least 2 common items

3 random items (according to the above-mentioned chances.

 

 

And maybe when opening fifteen containers, the rewards may be: 

 

 

At least 8 common items

At least 1 uncommon item

6 random items (according to the above -mentioned chances)

 

 

Have you guys ever thought about that? I mean, when you see a youtuber or someone else opening 15 containers, at least half of it is commons. 

 

When the last war ended, I had saved up 15 containers and opened them all at once. I was really pissed when 13 of the items were common items, 5 golds as an Uncommon and the Kaleidoscope paint as a rare item and that was it.  

 

The only thing that I can say that somewhat contradicts this is that the reward chances stay consistent for each container no matter how many are opened at once and because there are many containers to be opened in the 15 container choice, then there would be a better chance of obtaining an epic than with my speculation

 

What do you guys think? Likely, or unlikely?

 

 

 

 

think i just broke that a few days ago, opened 5 containers, got a common, green, blue than 2 purples, so maybe not always at least 2 commons? still, i think the rest is pretty likely

[Noghtfly 405]

3500 Cry x6

125 SB x2

125 Mines

125 DA x2

125 DD

100 All Supplies

Denmark paint

Rico Electric Effect

[Shaftermath 185]

Plenty of rarer boxes this week. For the record, the ones marked with * were opened in a batch of 5:


*1-12:
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Supplies - DD - 125 ,
Supplies - RK - 125 ,
Gold Boxes - 5 ,
Crystals - 25000

*1-12:
Crystals - 10000 ,
Gold Boxes - 10 ,
Paint - Garage (Atom) ,
Paint - Garage (Soft Flowers) ,
Paint - Container (Hallucination)

1-12:
Batteries - 150

*30-11:
Crystals - 3500 ,
Crystals - 10000 ,
Crystals - 10000 ,
Supplies - RK - 125 ,
Supplies - All - 100

30-11:
Supplies - DD - 125 ,
Crystals - 3500

30-11:
Crystals - 10000 ,
Supplies - DD - 125

29-11:

Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Crystals - 3500

Edited December 1, 2018 by Shaftermath

[x_Sorinel_x 52]

Starting from today, I decided to open 1 container each day. Got a total of 170 (not a single one used since they where introduced in the game).

 

01.12.2018 - 125 Mine

02.12.2018 - 3 500 crystals

03.12.2018 - 3 500 crystals

04.12.2018 - 5 Gold Boxes

05.12.2018 - 125 Double Damage

06.12.2018 - 10 000 crystals

Edited December 31, 2018 by x_Sorinel_x

[Tabish 100]

Starting from today, I decided to open 1 container each day. Got a total of 170 (not a single one used since they where introduced in the game).

 

So, today I got 125 mines.

wowww

[Michael828 816]

Starting from today, I decided to open 1 container each day. Got a total of 170 (not a single one used since they where introduced in the game).

 

01.12.2018, I got 125 mines.

02.12.2018, I got 3500 crystals.

That's an ambitions project. Hope you get some really cool stuff !

[T.O.R_Skyline 111]

opened 5 containers yesterday together, got:
125 speed boost
125 double damage
100 of all supplies
dragon paint (garage) (bs)
retina paint (container)

[x_Sorinel_x 52]

07.12.2018 - Gold effect :

 

 

 

08.12.2018 - 125 Double Armor

09.12.2018 - 3 500 crystals

10.12.2018 - 125 Repair Kits

11.12.2018 - 125 Reapir Kits

12.12.2018 - 125 Reapir Kits

13.12.2018 - 125 Double Armor

14.12.2018 - Roger paint

15.12.2018 - 5 Gold Boxes

16.12.2018 - 125 Double Damage

17.12.2018 - 125 Repair Kits

18.12.2018 - 100 of all Supplies

19.12.2018 - 100 of all Supplies

20.12.2018 - 25 000 crystals

21.12.2018 - 10 days of Premium Account

22.12.2018 - 125 Speed Boost

23.12.2018 - 125 Speed Boost

24.12.2018 - 10 000 crystals

25.12.2018 - 125 Mine

26.12.2018 - 125 Mine

27.12.2018 - 125 Mine

28.12.2018 - 5 Gold Boxes

29.12.2018 - 125 Double Armor

30.12.2018 - 125 Double Damage

31.12.2018 - 3 500 crystals

Edited January 1, 2019 by x_Sorinel_x

[Shaftermath 185]

This week's containers:

7-12:
Supplies - SB - 125 ,
Supplies - SB - 125

7-12:
Paint - Football (Peru) ,
Crystals - 100000 ,
Supplies - M - 125

6-12:
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Crystals - 10000 ,
Crystals - 3500 ,
Batteries - 50 ,
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Paint - Shop (Drought)

3-12:
Supplies - M - 125 ,
Batteries - 50 ,
Supplies - SB - 125

3-12:
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Crystals - 3500 ,
Supplies - SB - 125 ,
Supplies - All - 100

 

That's the third Crystals - 100000 reward in as many weeks. A rank-7 account has two of them It's already dominating with it's fully-upgraded M1 Viking/Freeze, and now I have the luxury of buying another kit to get me through ranks 8-10: any suggestions? I'm thinking Piranha (Hornet/Shaft) if it becomes available, so I can compete on the larger maps like Highways, Brest and Massacre)

[Shaftermath 185]

This week's  containers:

16-12:
Supplies - DA - 125

 

*16-12:
Supplies - M - 125 ,
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Supplies - DD - 125 ,
Paint - Garage (Pixel Heart) ,
Paint - Football (Germany)

15-12:
Crystals - 3500 ,
Supplies - M - 125

15-12:
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Crystals - 3500

14-12:
Supplies - DD - 125 ,
Crystals - 25000

14-12:
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Supplies - M - 125

13-12:
Crystals - 25000 ,
Supplies - DD - 125

11-12:
Supplies - M - 125 ,
Crystals - 3500 ,
Crystals - 3500

10-12:
Crystals - 3500 ,
Shot Effect (Railgun - Snow) ,
Crystals - 3500

10-12:
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Crystals - 10000

8-12:
Crystals - 10000

Edited December 16, 2018 by Shaftermath

[Shaftermath 185]

This week's containers:

23-12:
Batteries - 50

*21-12:
Crystals - 3500 ,
Crystals - 3500 ,
Supplies - M - 125 ,
Crystals - 10000 ,
Supplies - RK - 125

21-12:
Supplies - DD - 125 ,
Paint - Football (Nigeria)

21-12:
Supplies - M - 125 ,
Supplies - DD - 125 ,
Supplies - SB - 125 ,
Supplies - DD - 125

18-12:
Paint - Garage (Emerald)

18-12:
Gold Boxes - 10 ,
Premium - 3 ,
Batteries - 50

17-12:
Crystals - 3500 ,
Supplies - M - 125 ,
Shot Effect (Shaft - Magma)

17-12:
Crystals - 10000 ,
Premium - 10 ,
Crystals - 3500

[Guest]

Opened 15 challenge containers:

 

2 x 3,500 crystals

1 x 125 Mines

2 x 125 Speed Boosts

2 x 125 Double Armor

1 x 125 Double Damage

 

2 x 125 Repair kits

1 x 50 batteries

1 x 125 All supplies

 

1 x 25,000 crystals

 

1 x Toxic shot for Ricochet

 

1 x Meteor Shower paint

[Noghtfly 405]

3500 Cry x2

125 SB x2

125 Mines

125 DA x2

10000 Cry

125 Repair Kits

50 Batteries

3 days Premium

100 All Supplies

Seater Paint

Hypercube Paint

 

Oh, and almost forgot this  :D

 

[Lead_Oxide 9]

I was trying to find out the probabilities of different level rewards on the forum, since I got my 6 year old brother into the game. He made it to warrant officer ranks and became frustrated because he hadnt used his crystals wisely and struggled in every battle. So I suggested he makes a new account and tries to save more crystals. Before he even plays for an hour he already gets his first containers and opens them to get an exotic container with 1 000 000 crystals. He damn near couldn't stay in his pants from the excitement  :D. I couldnt believe his luck so thats why im here trying to know the probabilities of these things. The kid has CORPORAL rank and already has 1 000 000 crystals so now he definitely cant complain about not getting good equipment.

[x_Sorinel_x 52]

Starting from today, I decided to open 1 container each day. Got a total of 170 (not a single one used since they where introduced in the game).

So this is what I got from 31 containers (16 Common, 11 Uncommon, 3 Rare, 1 Epic):

 

49.000 Crystals

     700 Mine

     700 Repair Kits

     575 Double Damage

     575 Double Armor

     450 Speed Boost

       15 Gold Boxes

       10 Days of Premium Account

         1 Paint - Roger

         1 Shot Effect - Gold for Twins

 

Starting from tomorrow, another 1 container each day. And from 170 containers I have 159 containers now.

Edited January 4, 2019 by x_Sorinel_x

[ghost-guns 1,486]

Sudoku paint (is this rare?)

125 mines

3500 crystals

[Tabish 100]

^yes

Garage paints are rare

[Shaftermath 185]

Container time:

3-1:
Supplies - All - 100 ,
Supplies - M - 125 ,
Shot Effect (Isida - Sun)

3-1:
Supplies - RK - 125 ,
Crystals - 3500 ,
Batteries - 50

1-1:
Supplies - All - 250 ,
Crystals - 25000 ,
Supplies - M - 125

30-12:
Crystals - 10000 ,
Gold Boxes - 5

30-12:
Supplies - DD - 125 ,
Supplies - RK - 125

29-12:
Supplies - RK - 125

25-12:
Batteries - 50

25-12:
Supplies - SB - 125

24-12:
Paint - Football (Australia)

24-12:
Paint - Garage (Hive)

24-12:
Crystals - 3500 ,
Supplies - DA - 125 ,
Supplies - RK - 125

24-12:
Supplies - M - 125 ,
Supplies - SB - 125 ,
Supplies - SB - 125

[Shaftermath 185]

I was trying to find out the probabilities of different level rewards on the forum, since I got my 6 year old brother into the game. He made it to warrant officer ranks and became frustrated because he hadnt used his crystals wisely and struggled in every battle. So I suggested he makes a new account and tries to save more crystals. Before he even plays for an hour he already gets his first containers and opens them to get an exotic container with 1 000 000 crystals. He damn near couldn't stay in his pants from the excitement  :D. I couldnt believe his luck so thats why im here trying to know the probabilities of these things. The kid has CORPORAL rank and already has 1 000 000 crystals so now he definitely cant complain about not getting good equipment.

I've opened 793 containers, and received only one exotic container (it was a Thunder XT, not the million crystals).

 

I suggest your brother spends wisely, as you can easily fritter away crystals in this game. I suggest he buys kits, and no more than three per marque (i.e. 3 kits at M1, 3 at M2) - different range hulls/turrets, of course - then micro-upgrades each item to 7/10 (he can wait for sales if he really wants to upgrade higher than that).

 

This should keep him with kit whch will dominate battles for longest.

[AncientFire 1,894]

Last 8 containers. (1st is the most recent)

1. 125 DA

2. 10k

3. 125 DD

4. 250 of all supplies

5. Nano paint

6. 10k

7. Green effect for railgun

8. Dark Moon effect for twins